To elaborate: You can define "simplest program", for instance, as "shortest string consisting of [0-9], plus, minus, times, parentheses, and the symbol 'n' that when evaluated as a mathematical expression yields the given sequence for n=1, 2, 3...". You can then find a suitable string, like "((8 * n + 4) * n - 4) * n + 1", and do an exhaustive search of shorter strings to show that no better string exists. That would be 16^16, or less than a year on a computer that can knock off a trillion strings per second -- less if you use logic to constrain the search space.
However, realistically, a person asking such a question is merely looking for a "good" solution, not necessarily a proven-optimal one, as there may be multiple reasonable explanations for a given sequence. Rather, the value of the "simplest program" criteria is that it allows you to compare proposed solutions. So, yes, for any given number, there is a formula to make it next in the sequence. But by applying the "simplest program" criteria, we see that some formulas -- and hence some values -- are better than others.
To elaborate: You can define "simplest program", for instance, as "shortest string consisting of [0-9], plus, minus, times, parentheses, and the symbol 'n' that when evaluated as a mathematical expression yields the given sequence for n=1, 2, 3...". You can then find a suitable string, like "((8 * n + 4) * n - 4) * n + 1", and do an exhaustive search of shorter strings to show that no better string exists. That would be 16^16, or less than a year on a computer that can knock off a trillion strings per second -- less if you use logic to constrain the search space.
However, realistically, a person asking such a question is merely looking for a "good" solution, not necessarily a proven-optimal one, as there may be multiple reasonable explanations for a given sequence. Rather, the value of the "simplest program" criteria is that it allows you to compare proposed solutions. So, yes, for any given number, there is a formula to make it next in the sequence. But by applying the "simplest program" criteria, we see that some formulas -- and hence some values -- are better than others.