I wonder how long it will be before other companies start doing this.
At his confirmation hearing, when Alan Greenspan was asked why Townsend-Greenspan employed so many women (> 50%, compared to about 5% in finance at the time), he replied that since he valued women as much as men, but other firms didn't, he could get more work for the same amount money by hiring women. Now, of course, the difference has mostly been arbitraged away, but it took decades to get to this point.
At the time, people gave many reasons sexism couldn't possibly exist in finance; naturally, more men went into finance because women just didn't like finance, and more men had senior positions because simply didn't want senior positions, and so on and so forth (oddly enough, those same reasons are given today, in discussions of sexism in CS and engineering).
In 1987, Townsend-Greenspan shut down, after thirty successful years, because Greenspan became chairman of the Fed. Now, twenty-six years later, the gender gap among MBAs is much smaller than it used to be, but it hasn't disappeared. I hope it doesn't take fifty-six years from the founding of Etsy for someone to be able to make a comment like this about programmers.
I'm afraid it might be a while, though. In discussions about the topic here on HN, the top comment is often something along the lines of how there obviously isn't any sexism in the field, or if there is any, it's rare, and certainly not a systematic problem, and how it's simply impossible that the highly skewed male:female ratio in the field is due to sexism. That's usually followed by a paragraph on how any attempts to address the issue are an insidious cause of reverse sexism.
The top comment in the previous thread on this topic was a comment about how everything Etsy is doing applies equally to all people, not just women, despite a large body of research indicating that, on average, women are treated differently in the workplace [1], and how some simple changes can neutralize many serious problems [2].
[1] Perhaps someone else can supply a reference to a well-known study that I can't seem to look up. When men react with anger, or act authoritatively, that's seen neutrally or positively, but when women do the same, it's seen negatively.
The article doesn't describe sexism, the article describes scarcity and demand:
In Silicon Valley today it's not possible to hire more women simply by recruiting them. Good engineers today have their pick of jobs, and good female engineers are being stalked like the last antelope on the African veldt.
Etsy's solution doesn't seem to be to stop sexism, Etsy's solution appears to be train more engineers, take a risk on junior women engineers out of Hacker School, and let their risk taking and boots on the ground approach serve as a signal to senior women engineers.
None of this is evidence of sexism in CS and engineering, it was a winning strategy to defeat scarcity.
The argument is that sexism is what creates the scarcity in the first place. So by creating an environment where sexism is less of a factor you attract more women.
You're asking a rhetorical question that insults my character by implying that I would fabricate a theory and then "push it" although I knew it was false. I'm fine with not being right or people having a different opinion, but don't insult me in the process.
Your other question doesn't make sense since it's factually incorrect (hackers school was free before) and puts weight on only one factor. The incentive Etsy made for women to join hacker school was of course offsetting some other factors. I'm saying that sexism or something devolved from sexism is one of those other factors.
I didn't say you fabricated it, just that it doesn't follow from the story. That there was something to offset also doesn't imply sexism was in the mix of things to offset.
See, you didn't actually say story, you said experiment. I wouldn't base my theories on a single story. Instead I've been following this experiment for a year, during which many of the people involved seem to think that sexism actually is one of the factors.
Hacker school amended their policy with "no subtle sexism", the CTO of Etsy said that it was harder to hire great women because they tend to have a history of bad experience and one of the attendees, which was later hired by Etsy, specifically pointed out sexism as a problem within the tech community.
This of course also make me think that sexism or, like I said, something devolved from sexism actually is a factor for women. It was at least definitely part of the experiment.
The number of people believing something is not a good indicator for it being true oe not. Example: billions of people have contradictory religious beliefs.
The number of independent people believing something combined with their authenticity, trustworthiness, or competency is basic information valuation[0]. Religious beliefs fall not on how many people believe them, but because they all originate from either untrustworthy or distant sources. Otherwise the laws of physics would be false, since many people also believe them.
In any case that doesn't matter since what you actually said that sexism wasn't one of the factors and I've shown that is was. We haven't even begun talking about how large a factor it was since you haven't been providing any real perspective on the matter. At this point I seriously doubt your ability to provide any value in this conversation and are therefor going to stop participating in it.
You've shown that the organizers thought that sexism was a factor, which isn't the same thing. But you are right, since we fundamentally disagree about the rules of logic, further discussion is pointless. (example: I said truth doesn't follow from many people believing in something, you interpret it as 'everything many people believe is false'. Very basic logic mistake)
Yep, exactly. By funding this training program Etsy signaled that they value women as much as they value men. As a result, a ton of women applied to the program and many of those ended up getting hired.
Of course, you can find plenty of sexism in both finance and engineering. And I'm sure it discourages some women from entering.
But it is important to note there are plenty of industries today with high female representation, such as law and medicine, that in the recent past were bastions of male dominance. A female relative of mine went through law school in the 1950s and can tell tales of male chauvinism more extreme than you'd find anywhere today in tech or finance. But somehow, women went to law school more and more, and today represent ~50% of law classes. Something must be different about these fields, but I'm not sure what.
Probably not the reason, but it's worth noting that law and medicine historically had women in some roles, albeit subservient. Typically your court reporters were female, and of course nurses were pretty much all female. There weren't any roles in ye olde engineering where it was typical to see a woman at all.
Edit: probably more telling is that both law and medicine are heavily involved in a sense of social responsibility, something that women are traditionally socialised for. Engineering not so much.
Theory: the fields you mention, law and medicine, (historically and still) convey a higher social status on the member. There's also a relatively well trodden path through apprenticeship, successful practitioner, and eventual transition into other stable/respectable paths (politics, judiciary, hospital administration) as your career winds down.
People haven't aspired to become software engineers for generations. Only the past few years. In 1990, no one told their daughters that they could be software engineers. They told their daughters they could be lawyers and doctors, or maybe Senators, or business executives. Software engineering? Who wanted to do that?
Out of 150 students that graduated my year of high school (2003), an all boys school, I was the only one who chose to follow a computing career.
All my friends, even those with a similar (or more advanced) aptitude and interest in computers, chose different paths. Chemistry. Theoretical Physics. History. Politics. Economics.
Nobody wanted to be doing computing professionally. Men were/are afforded to be outcasts or underdogs, socially; there's some romanticism to it. I'm not sure the same has applied for women, but maybe that's changing.
Supportive parents, significant others, and friends? The first wave of militant[1] feminists repeatedly reinforced that women were the equivalent of men in many ways and better in some[2]. Women today (under 40 or 50 years old) have had the benefit of hearing the same "you can do anything" message that parents have told their sons. Girls and women are supported socially when their MBA (which was the first professional non-library sciences, teaching, etc. that took off), JD, and MD. Mothers and Fathers are as proud of their daughters being excellent as they are of their sons.
Sure, there are religious, geographical, and socio-economic holdouts, but I think that this is one of the three big factors.
The second is that men tend to drop out to get jobs. If you can make $150k out of school with a BS EECS, why go to law or med school? Again, using my wife and her circle of female attorneys as examples, women seem to be more interested in personal satisfaction and are willing to pay a price for it, whether it's working in a rough environment (Kabul, Kosovo, Department of Homeland Security) or postponing that satisfaction by spending more time in school.
The third is that med and law school are great careers with a lot of opportunities for women who want to have children. Sure, there's partner track that will not necessarily be an option, but again, they don't always have the same "must be alpha" drive that men do. They can take a year off, maybe start back in a step behind, maybe work part time, but know that they can do the job they like, with variety in cases, until they decide to retire.
Of course, there are a bunch of contributory factors that I didn't cover and don't know how universal they are, but on the "sexist" side, it's still more acceptable for a woman to take time off and be supported by her husband than the other way around. You have exceptions, like ESR, so I don't think it's as influential.
Finally, they still put up with a lot of sexism, but they know it's wrong and that it is not a reflection on them, but on the morons trying to put them down. Not that it doesn't hurt, but sometimes hurt is a good motivator to succeed in spite of others.
[1] For want of a better word.
[2] Just as I am better at feats of strength than my wife, who works out 1-2x/daily, but she is better at doing the type of research necessary to be one of the best litigators most attorneys have seen.
Law and Medicine both get more pay and have higher social status and have less ageism :-)
And if you SE is hard try being a woman in Civil engineering - a place I worked at (an Arab Civil engineers) had to arrange a swap with an Italian Consulting engineers. All our work was in the middle east so she was unable to get the required boots on the ground experience on our projects to progress to chartered status.
I have a friend who has been doing this at a significant business ($70m/yr) in a very high technology company for over 20 years. When I asked "what if no women apply?" Her answer was "you aren't looking hard enough."
Want cognitively diverse teams? It’s not as simple as hiring more female technologists.
I'm sorry, is the author implying that men and women approach engineering problems differently (i.e. they think differently)? Is there any evidence of this? I thought "essentialism" was anathema in contemporary diversity circles.
Eighty percent of Etsy customers are female, but the company itself used to be known in startup circles as engineer-centric and something of a dude-fest
So the fact that eighty percent of Etsy users were women despite having an all-male engineering team apparently means that you have to hire more women engineers to attract female users? Again I'd love to see evidence that once a core of female engineers were hired significant changes where made to the site that could only have come from a "woman's intuition" (natch). It seems to me that having a female dominated user base in spite of an all male engineering team disproves the assertion that you need hire women to achieve "cognitive diversity".
This is all suggesting that developers have a say in product design. I assume developers at Etsy do...
In that case, I find developers and product managers (including myself) are sometimes way too bias to give valuable feedback to product decisions. On the other hand, the big advantage I could see would be if the developers are constantly having conversations with their friends about the usability and design of the site. In this case, I could see an advantage.
I'm sorry, is the author implying that men and
women approach engineering problems differently
(i.e. they think differently)? Is there any evidence
of this?
I don't think it's controversial to believe that one's best chance at achieving "cognitive diversity" comes from having a variety of genders/backgrounds/ages/etc/whatever on your team.
That's not incompatible with rejecting the belief that one gender/race/whatever is "better" at something.
I would think it's controversial when applied to engineering. This implies that the basic tools of software development are somehow viewed/used differently by people of various genders/ethnicities/etc... solely because of this "diversity" which I think most people would disagree with. And if one were to argue that being asian/female/poor somehow effects how you develop software I would love to know how those differences manifest in day-to-day software development.
It's not really a question of believing one gender/etc... is better at something here it seems to be a question of not believing it as the author seems to think "cognitive diversity" can be achieved simply by adding women to your dev team.
While 2+2 will remain 4 under every gender, race and social status, it is important to realize that there are insights that aren't taught out of a textbook. If all you are doing is building objective software with the basic tools of software development, you are no better than a code monkey.
Etsy needed women because their customers were women. They needed engineers that would help them understand or uncover the point of views of their customers. At the end of the day you are serving people, not machines, and it makes more sense to optimize for the needs of customer, instead of assuming every programmer with git experience make a good engineer for Etsy.
I would think it's controversial when applied to
engineering. This implies that the basic tools of
software development are somehow viewed/used
differently by people of various genders/ethnicities/etc
We're probably operating with different definitions of "software engineering."
I understand software engineering to encompass much more than just using "the basic tools of software development." Within that scope, you're definitely right: I don't think one gender can use Eclipse (or vim, or whatever) better.
I'm thinking of a broader definition of software engineering that involves understanding problems and choosing from many viable solutions, each with their own trade-offs in terms of implementation difficulty and end-user experience. There are a lot of people who feel that process, and our industry as a whole, would benefit from having a greater variety of perspectives.
the author seems to think "cognitive diversity" can be achieved
simply by adding women to your dev team.
Unfortunately, when approaching an issue like this you cannot do so without adopting a sexist viewpoint yourself. To begin to analyze workers in terms of sex or gender to begin with, itself is sexist, the same way that affirmative action is racist.
It's fine and good that companies want to hire more female engineers. But this article is lame, which you should have picked up on when the author used the word "rockstar"
I hate being referred to as a rockstar developer as a male. I couldn't agree more. I want more engineers, not tokens. If I can work with competent people, I am happy. Even if it's an all male or all female workplace.
Sexism/racism et al. can exist outside of institutions no?
"Hate crimes" for instance clearly do not involve
any recognizable institutions yet clearly involve an -ism of some kind. Nor do -isms only exist at the society level. For instance it would be possible for a female owned company to not hire men (female hiring bias/sexism) which would run counter to larger societal biases.
> "Hate crimes" for instance clearly do not involve any recognizable institutions yet clearly involve an -ism of some kind.
Only in the sense that they 'reproduce' the broader -ism. The individual act is one of discrimination, the sum of all acts collectively is an *-ism.
> For instance it would be possible for a female owned company to not hire men (female hiring bias/sexism) which would run counter to larger societal biases.
Studies and discussion on this topic are scoped specifically at the societal level for a reason.
> I thought "essentialism" was anathema in contemporary diversity circles.
You are absolutely right that essentialism is not generally accepted any more, but you're mistaking essentialism a bit. Essentialism is not 'women do things differently than men,' essentialism is 'Women are x.'
As an example, certain feminists don't believe that trans women are women, because they are not born with sexual organs that are the essence of 'woman.'
In contrast, population thinking would assert some number of a portion of a population has some trait, but it's not required, or 'essential.' Saying that 'many women have vaginas' is not an essentialist statement, it's a population-ist one.
Therefore, "many women approach problems differently than many men" is not essentialst. "All women _must_ approach problems differently than men" is essentialist.
But the author is stating that "woman are x" by stating they bring more "cognitive diversity" to a team. In order for this to be true, woman in fact "must" approach problems differently than men or there would be no diversity benefit (whatever that may be in this case).
If it's not a rigorous philosophical work, people will not be very precise with their qualifiers.
For example, in the previous sentence, I said 'people' and not 'most people.' Especially in the social sciences, people assume you're discussing populations, and words like 'most' impede clarity more than aid it.
That said, I don't know the author, and they may be a gender essentialist; they do still exist.
Recently I watched a documentary in which a researcher told of how he was ridiculed for studying happiness, even though nobody saw anything wrong with studying depression. Then I saw a documentary where a handful of really skinny people were put on a ridiculous diet and their physiological changes were tracked.
Instead of trying to figure out why there aren't MORE women in science, math and engineering disciplines, perhaps we should be talking to the ones who are already there? It seems to me that if we've really had to jump over extra hurdles and deal with lower wages, there has to be something very compelling that keeps us here.
We think these answers are obvious. Maybe they aren't?
ETA: I interviewed with Etsy in 2010 or 2011. It seemed as if I did very well, but it wasn't a career move that warranted relocating the home to Brooklyn. At the time, I thought they were just excited by me, as a professional. I'm feeling a bit sad that it might have just been a "hire more women" drive instead. Bleh.
Whast extra hurdles did you have to jump over? Are you sure your wages are lower? Those differences are not very obvious for office jobs, in fact the other day I linked to astudy showing women in tech earn more than men ( till age 30 anyway, have no data on otherrs).
My degree is in audio tech, not computer tech. I have always found the latter to be far less challenging in the gender bias department, and had a much easier time, in general making a career "in computers." I do have experiences where I was passed over for positions where men with less experience were hired (I trained them). Also where male peers received training I was denied. Also where I was harassed until I resigned while I was pregnant. I've been asked if I was okay with working 40 hours a week because I have kids or what my kids would do during the day while I was working. Even writing one sentence per experience would make this response tedious.
I have no personal examples of being paid less, because I've more or less felt I was being paid enough to make it not worth asking anyone else what they were being paid. From what I understand, that is a big no-no. The examples I have of women being paid less are from other women in tech, a couple of these for which there is direct proof.
The question was, "I can hear your kids in the background. Are you sure you're okay with working 40 hours a week?" From a female recruiter for a previous employer when I specifically inquired about FTE. Her boss (also female) certainly didn't think it was fair to ask.
I'm male and not really OK with working 40 hours a week (with a 2 year old at home). I find it annoying that people automatically assume I'm OK with it. Not sure what to think, I mean why the question is offensive. Maybe it is illegal to ask (like pregnancy status)?Edit: I don't know what FTE means.
"Are you willing to work a 40 hour week" (ie, the industry standard full-time week) is code for "are you sure your motherly obligations aren't going to get in the way of your job?"
I cannot rightly say I've ever been up against another female candidate. But I have a lot of opinions about how I am different, at least from a personality standpoint, from most of the women I work with. None of which are objective. :-)
I'd like to see some numbers on how having 500% more female engineers made Etsy ship a better product - which is what I imagine customers ultimately care about. The idea that diversity is good for its own sake in every possible situation is taken as an axiom - which I'd like to see proven.
It seems like the idea of meritocracy - that the best professional for a given job is based on competence is substituted with one of diversity. Ie that in any group of size n, the personal qualities (gender,race,sexual orientation) of N+1 person joining the group is just as (or more important) that his/her core qualifications.
For example - why does company have to have engineers that mimic its customer base? Wouldn't it make more sense for them to have people whose job it is to figure out what customers want and then tell engineers to code it up?
Now - I am not saying that diversity is bad, rather that it's presented as a given, with no numerical justification.
On any other problem whatsoever, people would readily grant that having the developers understand the problem domain confers an advantage. I don't see why this should be any different.
I am not convinced that males are incapable of understanding whatever it is that Etsy's clients want. After all - we don't look for programmers who are doctors for medical programs, etc.
I'd actually posit that in majority of cases (ie all enterprise software), programmers actually have much less of clue as to what they are working on than in the case of consumer site like this.
Actually, you do end up needing a degree of domain-specific knowledge. Do you not think that programmers of medical software don't pick up a ton of medical knowledge while they're working? And that people who are programmers who were, say, pre-med or bio students or whatever wouldn't have an edge? As someone who happens to work in a science/bioinformatics environment with no education on the topic, I can definitely say that I make decisions based on the domain (what I've learned since joining) and the behaviors of our end-users, scientists.
When programmers lack domain knowledge, they're likely to make bad assumptions that will hurt them later. Of course you have to know intended use when you're writing software, it can help you design it properly. A very simple hypothetical: Designing a database to efficiently receive some data set. What if Etsy's users aren't interested in that data? And they care more about something else, which would merit designing it differently? Maybe having a female voice to bring that up would be helpful. Obviously, it's purely conjecture, but I think it's a reasonable scenario.
I find this policy of intentionally hiring female over male programmers as highly disturbing. Etsy already proved that female programmers are not needed to successfully sell to females. Is there some sort of magical difference between male and female programmers that I am unaware of? Why throw out equality to promote it?
Would anyone be OK with the reverse policy? Could a company that sells to 99% men systematically exclude more qualify female leads to only hire men? Could a company that only sells to white people refuse to hire minorities? The Internet would be up in arms organizing boycotts in the case of the later (not to mention civil suites).
> Would anyone be OK with the reverse policy? Could a company that sells to 99% men systematically exclude more qualify female leads to only hire men?
The reverse of this situation would be a company that sells largely to men but is comprised of 3 male engineers and 47 female engineers making an effort to recruit or train new male engineers, while women continue to make up 70% of their new engineering hires.
I tend to agree. I thought the whole point of gender equality was to be blind, so to speak, of gender?
If you have to specifically hire female people, it says their quality is lower (otherwise you would just always hire the best person female or male), which is not something I am sure I can support. Women are just as capable of being the best. It seems like an insult to give anyone special treatment just because of gender. Isn't that what we are trying to stop?
I mean, being qualified is never the only piece of the "getting hired" puzzle, right? You want someone who fits well in your team, is generally interesting, is eager to learn, and possibly fills some other niche that you feel your team is missing. I think it's a fair question to ask, "Will this person provide a unique perspective within our team?"
It seems simply that Etsy is trying to fill a female niche and add female perspective. It's not like they're hiring random ladies off the street, their hires have gone to hacker school and are clearly capable given the opportunity. Software isn't written is silos where you don't talk to other people about what/how/why you are going what you're doing.
You definitely right that being the overall best is more complicated than being the best at one specific thing. However, doesn't the idea of "female perspective" reintroduce the exact same gender bias issues?
If you can justify hiring for "female perspective", what about the companies who only want "male perspective"?
I don't think Etsy is acting as though they want only the female perspective, just more of it than what they have. I'm sure there are other areas where they are trying to get more male perspective (e.g. at small liberal arts colleges, to a degree).
Etsy is obviously not starting to hire only women or even mostly women.
Teaching is an industry that openly seeks male perspective, but I'm not sure that is right either. Why can't men just reach the level of being the obvious choice for the job, without even needing to consider gender?
I think, as the article alludes to, men and women are less likely to consider certain careers/colleges/whatever. So if you ignored gender at a liberal arts school and blindly selected candidates, and the ratio was as skewed towards women as the tech industry is towards men, do you think men would be as comfortable there? Having a gender balance (as well as a balance on other axes that include more minorities) is good for everyone. Maybe that overall environment is better than an environment full of mega left-wing lady commies, or, in the case of tech, "hotshot" male engineers with poor social graces. These are all generalizations, obviously, but I think it's true to the overarching trend.
The article doesn't really say why they wanted more female engineers, other than "it was vital to the product."
I'd like to see more women engineers, and I applaud Etsy's initiative, but it seems unlikely that adding a few more super-junior (freshly-trained) women developers to their staff is going to meaningfully change the product in the near term.
I suppose (hope) that these women could help prevent anti-female product boo-boos, like the time Microsoft offered "bitch" as the equivalent to "male" in a Windows XP Spanish localization.
I didn't know which company was accused of this, but the version I heard was that "female" was translated as "hembra". It does mean that, but you usually hear it applied to animals.[1] Probably an easy mistake for someone to make if they're told to translate a string without being made aware of the context.
[1] The DRAE, considered the "dictionary of record" in Spain, says that female animal is definition 1, and female human is definition 2. http://lema.rae.es/drae/?val=hembra
"Hembra" used to be acceptable some time ago, but right now is controversial and not used in that context. It is still used for female animals, though.
The same goes with the male equivalent: "macho", which now is only used for animals and not people. (Macho can be also used in a similar way as in english, but that's a different acception and context usage)
Doesn't this seem a little sexist?
I only hope they give men the equal opportunity to women and don't start "paving the way" to make it easier for women to get a job there than an equally good man. Avoiding sexism isn't about hiring an equal number of men as women. It's about hiring the best for the job regardless of their gender.
Had the article been: "How Etsy Replaced 50% of our Male Engineers with Females" you might have cause for concern.
If we were using startup lingo, we'd be saying that Etsy is disrupting the traditional labor market by finding a supply of software engineers where one didn't (or didn't seem to) exist before. We wouldn't assume that the labor supply remained exactly the same size, and that every software engineer position staffed by a woman meant one less software engineer position staffed by a man.
It's not whether they're getting rid of male engineers. I just hope they're not giving an unfair advantage to females over males here as I would consider that to be sexist.
Equality isn't making sure 50% of workers in each role are of each gender. Equality is making sure that when recruiting/training you always pick the best candidate regardless of there gender.
It's great to see Etsy hire more female engineers! But really, they had so few female engineers to begin with (3) that the 500% figure is a bit sensationalist
This is a really great plan for hiring top talent in a way that's not immediately obvious. There is a lot of talk of 'sexism' in the tech world, but from my experience, many top male engineers are going to prefer working in a team with a few more females. If the article is correct then this proves this further - they were able to hire some big names simply by having those extra female engineers.
Training up female engineers is also positive as the main complaint about 'diversity in tech' is putting less competent female engineers before more competent male engineers to meet ratio targets. (I'm not saying that females are less competent, but female engineers are harder to find.) By training up female engineers first before giving them the jobs, they are hopefully making sure that their female engineers are just as competent as their male engineers.
Basically it's a win all around, and is much better than just hiring any female engineer regardless of skill to make quota.
"Less headhunters, more hacker school" - Good call, good call.
Well, more education/vocation HAS to be the key. There are less female engineers. The objective has to be to have more around, not to concentrate them in a few companies.
You know, gender aside, this is what more companies should do; there's an enormous demand for skilled engineers out there, yet very few companies that acknowledge there just may not be any more in the market and they need to create said skilled employees themselves.
The problem for employers is that trainees and interns are a risk; you need to screen them beforehand, and then you take a gamble about whether they'll get up to the required skill level in six months or a year to be up to par to the rest of the company's team.
I heard about a major consultancy company's success in attracting interns as potential future engineers (Ordina iirc), they said the success rate was about 1 in 20. Which, for smaller companies (<100 people) is simply not enough.
The article itself states they hired eight people from Hacker School, which is daring and commendable. I'm curious as to how those people will develop themselves in the coming year.
Companies should also be very clear about what they're actually looking for. If you're looking for "world class" talent, don't complain about a "programmer shortage".
The fact that there were 600 valid applications (the women applying had code examples to show), basically busts the "programmer shortage" myth.
There are a whole lot of people who can program computers, and who could, with some investment, become valuable assets.
Work, after all, is mostly about getting shit done. If there is a shortage of female engineers they are probably overvalued which also means I could hire equally good or better men for less money.
Does the little gain of prestige make up for the huge potential loss of opportunity?
Since human nature is so malleable, while we're at it, let's build a culture where men don't care about women's looks, women don't care about men's social status, parents love other people's children more than their own kids, and wearing stripes with plaid is the height of fashion. Easy-peasy-lemon-squeezy.
No, you're the one who's making that argument, if you don't believe that it's possible to condition men into not caring about women's looks and all the rest of it. If those things are possible, no problem. But if those things are not possible...
Like I said, you're making a straw man argument. You're saying that getting men to "not care about women's looks" is the same as getting men to stop sexually harassing women. That's simply not true.
And it is definitely possible to change our culture so that sexual harassment is not ok.
And I could just as easily posit the reverse. Say we have one woman and nine men. If we add a woman, does it really double the likelihood of a harassment suit? Why would it? Either one of the nine men harasses women, or he doesn't, why would adding a second women change his behaviour?
On the other hand, if we halve the proportion of women by hiring ten more men, I'd say you may have doubled the chances of having a harasser on your staff.
I guess it all comes down to whether you walk around thinking that women cause sexual harassment lawsuits or men cause sexual harassment lawsuits. I think it's the men doing the harassing, but whoo-boy are there a lot of apologists out there who believe that women are making this stuff up.
I don't completely understand your argument here, on a purely intellectual level...
In a very simple model, going from 0 women to 1 woman should increase the number of harassment suits, right? Then going from 1 woman to 2 women should have a similar effect, because all naturally occurring functions are differentiable :-) Intuitively it seems to me that the amount of reported harassment should be proportional to how many opportunities for harassment exist, or (under a different theory) how many opportunities for false claims exist, which is the same number by another name.
So it's a little strange to hear you say that anyone who disagrees with you must believe in nasty things like "harassment is made up by women". Do you know how hard it is to figure out causality from observational data? For any possible trend you could find in the data, like "reported harassment scales as the number of women times the square root of the number of men", one could probably make up a just-so story that blames men, and a different just-so story that blames women.
Your statement essentially assumes linearity, when such certainly isn't the case. Look at other industries, harassment lawsuits do not rise in tandem with number of women. This is obvious, one can grow the number of women in an industry far more quickly than harassers. Since these harassers cannot well parallelize their activity, the strongest explanatory variable will be the number of potential harassers. Raganwald's point. We are taking it as a given that most men will not provoke things till disciplinary actions are required and most women are not lying about them.
Your post is also highly simplifying - assumes trivial reducibility, homogeneity and ignores the effect of interactions to create emergent modalities. Observe that Not all women will escalate to lawsuits or even disciplinary action first. Lawsuits are a sign of an endemic problem, lack of support - symptom of horrible rot. With more women the support structures would be such that these problems could be nipped in the bud early. Indeed it's very possible that beyond a certain threshold, the number of women in an organization shifts company culture.
These two points show why it is not a simple matter of 500% more lawsuits.
I think the onus is on you and those who agree with you to discard all this "intuitively" and other hand-wavy stuff and come up with some hard evidence and/or citations, or back down and say, "we're making this shit up because it suits our biases."
I wasn't born yesterday. If someone makes a claim without a shred of evidence, it's perfectly legitimate to say, "Well, here's another alternate explanation that's just as unproven, so clearly yours has nothing special going for it." I gave you a Flying Spaghetti Monster, and you're telling me that intuitively, God has a long white beard, not a saucer.
I'm perfectly ok with your saying that you choose to believe something without a shred of evidence, to take it as faith.
But that won't change the fact that simply making shit up, asking if it's "wrong," and then saying that you'll stick to it unless someone else proves your unsubstantiated prejudices are mistaken is bunkum.
His intuitions are simply basic mathematical intuitions ("natural functions are differentiable") and have nothing whatsoever to do with any prejudices. He isn't "making shit up", he just isn't justifying it with as much mathematical rigor as I did.
It really does not help discussions like this to simply assume and accuse those you disagree with are prejudiced and unthinking.
Sorry, what he and you are doing is starting with assumptions you are making up and then saying GIVEN this shit I'm making up THEN given these mathematical intuitions I cherry-pick as simple demonstrations of the conclusions I've drawn THEN the conclusion I drew before I back-filled my reasoning holds.
Again, without even the barest attempt to go out and gather some empirical data. That kind of talk belongs amongst consultants pedalling methodology snake-oil. And yes I am being dismissive of your so-called arguments.
Around here we regularly make fun of the "social sciences" for their lack of rigor. Except, it appears, when we want to throw our prejudices around. Shame on you all for treating Hacker News like it's Reddit.
I made three assumptions. One was social distance (a harasser will harass only one of the K < N people he has met). The other was your assumption that a harasser always harasses. The third was your assumption that all harassment allegations are true.
I assume that the social distance assumption is the one you believe to be prejudiced?
I'm also curious why you believe your post is any different. You also posited a mathematical model (exactly like mine, except without the social distance), and hinted that those you disagree with must be sexist. Is it merely the existence of an ad-hominem attack that makes your post more valid?
If we add a woman, does it really double the likelihood of a harassment suit? Why would it? Either one of the nine men harasses women, or he doesn't, why would adding a second women change his behaviour?
He might not harass all women. He might only harass women in his general vicinity, either a social, work related or geographic.
Lets consider only correct accusations, and further suppose a given individual only interacts with K coworkers (for K < N, with N the company size). Harassment will occur if one of the K coworkers a given harasser H interacts with is a woman (assuming he always harasses). The probability of that not occurring is (1-P(coworker is woman))^K. The number of harassers is beta x (1-P(coworker is woman)) x N, with beta the probability of an individual man being a harasser. So the probability of a no correct harassment accusations is (1-P(woman))^(K x beta x (1-P(woman)) x N).
Provided P(coworker is woman) is small (as is the case in most tech companies), this number decreases as P(woman) increases. I.e., more women raises the probability of a harassment lawsuit.
And this is all in a model which assumes women never ever make this stuff up.
Notice the use of your word "might?" That's a clue that we're bandying around unsupported guesses. As in, "well, it might be that this, or it might be that that."
There's nothing wrong with that kind of talk, provided it is followed by, "And here's how we would go out and discover what the actual truth is." That is Science. Stopping with "might" is fine, provided you don't call it anything other than speculation.
I'm not calling what I said anything other than speculation. I put it there to show that if you're going to make stuff up, you can arrive at any conclusion you like. So I needn't defend my suggestion. I agree it is indefensible, just as the one you're supporting is indefensible.
It all comes down to either saying "I don't know and that's fine with me because I have faith," or "I don't know, and I'm going to find out what is actually true."
Let me quote the part of your post I'm disagreeing with:
I guess it all comes down to whether you walk around thinking that women cause sexual harassment lawsuits or men cause sexual harassment lawsuits. I think it's the men doing the harassing, but whoo-boy are there a lot of apologists out there who believe that women are making this stuff up.
I took a model very similar to yours, in which women never make stuff up. The only factor I added was a (in my opinion quite reasonable) assumption that you can't harass the people in the company you've never met.
I.e., I showed one can disagree with you even while believing that women never ever make stuff up.
If you want to call all beliefs based on mathematical models rather than some frequentist statistical estimate "faith", fine. I don't agree that mathematical models are useless, I think they can give us excellent guesses about the world and we should use them until we have something better (particularly when a variety of different models give similar conclusions). But I suppose we just have radically different views on epistemiology.
But in that case, why are you claiming that kudzu_bob's claim is "probably incorrect"? How could you possibly know this? Absent some frequentist study proving this is the case, why would you believe that "it's men doing the harassing"?
At his confirmation hearing, when Alan Greenspan was asked why Townsend-Greenspan employed so many women (> 50%, compared to about 5% in finance at the time), he replied that since he valued women as much as men, but other firms didn't, he could get more work for the same amount money by hiring women. Now, of course, the difference has mostly been arbitraged away, but it took decades to get to this point.
At the time, people gave many reasons sexism couldn't possibly exist in finance; naturally, more men went into finance because women just didn't like finance, and more men had senior positions because simply didn't want senior positions, and so on and so forth (oddly enough, those same reasons are given today, in discussions of sexism in CS and engineering).
In 1987, Townsend-Greenspan shut down, after thirty successful years, because Greenspan became chairman of the Fed. Now, twenty-six years later, the gender gap among MBAs is much smaller than it used to be, but it hasn't disappeared. I hope it doesn't take fifty-six years from the founding of Etsy for someone to be able to make a comment like this about programmers.
I'm afraid it might be a while, though. In discussions about the topic here on HN, the top comment is often something along the lines of how there obviously isn't any sexism in the field, or if there is any, it's rare, and certainly not a systematic problem, and how it's simply impossible that the highly skewed male:female ratio in the field is due to sexism. That's usually followed by a paragraph on how any attempts to address the issue are an insidious cause of reverse sexism.
The top comment in the previous thread on this topic was a comment about how everything Etsy is doing applies equally to all people, not just women, despite a large body of research indicating that, on average, women are treated differently in the workplace [1], and how some simple changes can neutralize many serious problems [2].
[1] Perhaps someone else can supply a reference to a well-known study that I can't seem to look up. When men react with anger, or act authoritatively, that's seen neutrally or positively, but when women do the same, it's seen negatively.
[2] http://papers.nber.org/papers/w18511