It's not exactly the same thing.

When the Gutenberg press exists, knowing how to copy whole books by hand is 0% useful anymore, including to run a book copy using a press. There's also virtually no advantage to hand copy a book when you have a press.

You still need to know how to program to build something and maintain it in the long run. You need to be able to understand the Gen AI's output or you are in for some trouble, and to deeply understand the Gen AI's output you need to have practiced programming. What's more, you need to have practiced not only (generic) programming, but the specific stuff you are working on (the domain, the specific technologies, the specific codebase).

It was a little bit of a humorous tease however, I think there’s a side to it you’re missing as valid is what you say right now is.

> It was a little bit of a humorous tease

Whoops, missed that, sorry for this!

Not sure I understand the rest of your sentence, I understand that you are saying what I'm saying is only valid right now but could change as Gen AI keep improving.

I personally think this stuff significantly improving will require a breakthrough / paradigm shift, and that the "sophisticated stochastic parrot" model, even with "reasoning" stuff "patched" on top might only go so far and might quickly plateau (this is not science, only mostly uninformed opinion though).

Hey bud I'm with you there on the next gen breakthroughs requiring more than the current models + reasoning, tho they do take it pretty far. Re the sentence: s/as valid is/as valid as/, but yeah you got me even with the error!

I think truly next gen requires embodiment so systems can learn emotions and consequences, plus reason from their own perspective. I also think the NLP processing can be radically simplified to make training/inference way lower cost. There's also probably another layer we haven't grokked yet, maybe something like NLP/transformers on abstract non linguistic symbolic reasoning, that emerges from linguistics and world models/embodied experience, to truly refine this to the ideal of intellect we are seeking. That should open the gate to AGI, tho there's probably some other magic x-factor step to take a perfectly intelligent individuated synthetic consciousness (in a robot body) to whatever we want from AGI tho. Idk, what do you think? :)