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Industrial civilization will continue to follow along the "Business as Usual" trajectory of the 1972 Limits to Growth publication [0].

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Limits_to_Growth#Compariso...



"is a 1972 report that discussed the possibility of exponential economic and population growth with finite supply of resources"

The main problem is that for many reasons people tend to focus on the economic growth part while the population growth part is the killer.


Population growth is a solved problem. We have already passed peak births.


It is absolutely not a solved problem:

* Population is probably (it's actually a certainty in my mind) too high to be sustainable and it is still growing,

* Governments are terrified of population decrease because of the far-reaching effects on markets and public finances and are pushing for growth.

So it is a "less solved" problem than emissions as the IEA predicts that global fossil fuel demand will peak by 2025, possibly even this year.

It might be solved in some countries in the sense that population should now be naturally decreasing because of the low birth rate but it is in fact "not solved at all" considering the second bullet point above.


[flagged]


Not likely. Things have to get much worse.




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