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So go back to the 1950s and the point stands. What does it matter when the actual start date is in terms of the point being right or wrong?


> So go back to the 1950s and the point stands.

Yes. "Quantum computers will revolutionize computing by year 2100" is a claim I can take seriously. "Quantum computers will revolutionize computing real soon now" is a claim I am not taking seriously.

And yes, the 1950s AI researchers also boasted that it would take only months, what ended up taking many decades: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dartmouth_workshop


So quantum computers will be relavent in some time around 2075.

How much money should we putting into something with a time horizon longer than the working careers of everyone here?


Nobody wants your money


I'd like a rebate on my taxes then.


Well I'll be dead by that timeline so it matters a little.




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