Well seeing as my tbills represent the future output of the world's largest economies, and one of the greatest consumers of veblen goods (which includes most of the demand for your commodities), you and I aren't so different. We bet the same.

But you have no idea what you're doing.

I merely wish to point out that you can't bet for the end of the world. You can merely prepare for it.

I can short the end of the world; as long as there is enough time between when I profit and when I cash that profit out into something that will provide me with long term value (house, etc).

For this argument, I define value as providing ME something, not value that can be traded.