> I must live in some kind of alternative reality where 80% of teams that I worked with liked Scrum (and I lead tens of teams).
I think it has a lot to do with how good estimates can be, and how much can be shared between the members of the team. The extreme situation where the tasks are all boring/predictable and everyone in the team can do everything probably works well with Agile (or any estimation-based religion, I suppose).
The problem is that in many situations, many tasks are not very predictable (because they involve novelty, risk, exploration, challenge), and not everyone is capable of doing everything. In that case the estimates are a big joke, and Agile is just bullshit.
I think it has a lot to do with how good estimates can be, and how much can be shared between the members of the team. The extreme situation where the tasks are all boring/predictable and everyone in the team can do everything probably works well with Agile (or any estimation-based religion, I suppose).
The problem is that in many situations, many tasks are not very predictable (because they involve novelty, risk, exploration, challenge), and not everyone is capable of doing everything. In that case the estimates are a big joke, and Agile is just bullshit.