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Oracle and almalinux would probably base on Stream with their own patches. The maintenance burden will be much smaller than a full fork, as red hat will still be the main contributor.


But if you base on Stream, you are no longer bug-for-bug compatible with the current stable release of RHEL.

Not that I care personally, but this point seems to be very important for a lot of people.


I doubt any of the new distros are going to be 1:1 compatible, aside from maybe Rocky and their workarounds to get RHEL source code.

Oracles and Almalinuxes announcements both state clearly that they aim to be compatible so long its possible, so no 1:1 binary compatibility promises.




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