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What will really happen is that ownership of vehicles will dramatically drop, as it's cheaper to simply rent an automated vehicle to get to your destination. This means a lot less waste, as you have far less vehicles sitting around being utilized maybe one or two hours a day. Folks aren't going to be interested in daily 8 hour drives if the wear and tear on the vehicle is going to force them to buy a new car every 3-5 years, on top of the fuel cost (even electricity). Same goes for if you're renting, since you won't want to pay a small fortune on your daily commute.


This seems much closer to the reality. With LiDAR's, imaging radar's, a host of other sensors, more custom calibration and crazy high development costs, these autonomous vehicles are going to be the price of a Lamborghini for a long time. The idea that A/V's like this will clog streets across America because every worker will keep 2 in their garage is unlikely.




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