Snap, AirBnB, Stripe, FB, Tesla (though TSLA is kind of a weird exception in lots of ways) - it isn't that hard to see which companies are rocket ships in early growth. If you can get a seat on one even as employee 500 you'll probably do pretty well.
Yes there's risk, but the odds aren't lottery odds and it does a disservice to inexperienced people that don't understand what's true to pretend this is the case.
You also get to make this bet a few times if you're good at interviewing and willing to jump around every four years or so to a new place (something I haven't done, but I've seen people do).
Professional investors struggle to make good investment decisions after years of intense practice, and many many investment decisions.
Why do you think naive employees can pick winners? Clearly the vast majority don't or can't...
The only difference is that an employee might get in on a hot deal where many investors are chasing one great looking deal and most investors will miss out.
I suspect it's because a lot of investors don't know what they're doing and are further removed from the details.
The good ones (of which there are few) have hands on experience as founders or a deep understanding of the industry and personal technical experience. Employees don't have to be naive, they're on the ground with an understanding of the technology and are likely to see first hand what works and what doesn't.
Obviously not everyone will succeed, but there's no reason employees can't do a better job than investors (and many do).
Snap, AirBnB, Stripe, FB, Tesla (though TSLA is kind of a weird exception in lots of ways) - it isn't that hard to see which companies are rocket ships in early growth. If you can get a seat on one even as employee 500 you'll probably do pretty well.
Yes there's risk, but the odds aren't lottery odds and it does a disservice to inexperienced people that don't understand what's true to pretend this is the case.
You also get to make this bet a few times if you're good at interviewing and willing to jump around every four years or so to a new place (something I haven't done, but I've seen people do).