> It's good to quantify and ballpark that damage instead of leaving it as an intuitive guess.
Except it is hard to quantify the downside of that bears on quality of life and take that into account. My 70+ year old parents are homebound for last 5+ months, and their overall physical and mental health from lack of physical and social activities have significantly gone down, to the point I expect if this goes on another 6 months or more I might lose at least one of my parents.
This is a study which looks at the relative impact of pro sports on influenza deaths in cities, not a study on COVID-19. But if a pandemic did hit, and we didn't have any data on the relative impact of different events on death, then you're more blind than ever in making judgments like whether churches should be restricted to 50 (why not 25 or 100?).
Similarly, there ought to be discussions on increases in mortality for any other causes under current contexts, including deaths by suicide — there's certainly been a lot of resistance to discussing the impacts of lockdown on public health.
Except it is hard to quantify the downside of that bears on quality of life and take that into account. My 70+ year old parents are homebound for last 5+ months, and their overall physical and mental health from lack of physical and social activities have significantly gone down, to the point I expect if this goes on another 6 months or more I might lose at least one of my parents.