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How many monkey bots are flipping the coin daily? Selection bias just needs one.

I very much look forward to the author's follow up post at the end of 2020 to see if another 5k turns into 200.



You have to make some basic assumptions to do any statistical inference, because if you don't then literally anything can be explained by luck. For example, even if the author did a follow-up post (which I'd love to see as well!) every year for 30 years and made money every time, it could still be "selection bias".

The number of monkeys required to match the author's results over a 12-month period is well over the number of atoms in the universe.




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