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(not an expert)

I think that's exactly wrong. Microservices might end up winning because there will be no infra to set up. Microservices communication and scaling is a pretty generic problem: it is automated and cloud providers offer managed solutions (eg Serverless). In the end, you just deploy code.

At the other side of the room, monoliths always need some custom provisioning and deployment. If it has to evolve into more than a monolith (queue, workers...), it's that much more infra to setup and maintain.

I don't think people talking about microservices for POCs and MVPs are talking about maintaining your own cluster and handling scaling yourself. You go for managed solutions that allow you to focus on delivering value.



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