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If the "Lindy Effect" was a natural law and not simply a shorthand to refer to enduring popularity, nothing would ever die out; its lifetime would continually double. Wikipedia notes this: Because life expectancy is probabilistically derived, a thing may become extinct before its "expected" survival. In other words, one needs to gauge both the age and "health" of the thing to determine continued survival.

There are lots of things in tech that we just stop doing one day. They get replaced by a different hot new thing. I'm sure REST will not go extinct for a very long time, but it definitely could go cold, just like its popular predecessors.



Perhaps REST as the thing you do over http with http verbs won't be around.

But the architectural principle called REST will be around forever because it's essentially the same thing as functional programming.

That REST is cache friendly corresponds exactly to the way that pure functions are memo-ising friendly.




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