Of course, you must mean you have a foolproof system for finding "A" players in your candidate pipeline then, and then it's just a matter of selecting only the best!
It lists all the people who were drafted ahead of Stephen Curry, "arguably the greatest basketball player in the world right now". Curry was drafted seventh. The others were:
1) Blake Griffin, 5 all star games
2) Hasheem Thabeet, 0 all star games
3) James Harden, 3 all star games
4) Tyreke Evans, 0 all star games
5) Ricky Rubio, 0 all star games
6) Jonny Flynn, 0 all star games
Even in the very limited domain of professional basketball, it's impossible to predict who will be the superstars and who will quickly wash out of the league.
A.) The 7'+ guy - because being able to chew gum and walk at the same time is rare at that height, and deserving of a number 2 pick - see Sam Bowie in 1984, over MJ.
B.) Minnesota inexplicably picking two point guards back-to-back. Dumb, dysfunctional teams frequently make poor draft decisions.
C.) All six players were drafted into the Western Conference, which has been consistently more talented and more competitive than the East since Jordan retired the second time. Tyreke Evans could probably have gotten a couple All-Star nods in the East - after all, he did win Rookie of the Year, gunning for an awful Kings team.
D.) Curry fit the archetype of the mid-major/small school high-usage gunner coming into the draft. He put up incredible numbers, but against second and third-tier competition, as pretty much the only scoring option on his teams. This doesn't often translate to the NBA level. See Jimmer Fredette, or Adam Morrison, or Doug McDermott.
Just today I clicked on a linkbait title from Business Insider: http://www.businessinsider.com/the-stephen-curry-nba-draft-2...
It lists all the people who were drafted ahead of Stephen Curry, "arguably the greatest basketball player in the world right now". Curry was drafted seventh. The others were:
1) Blake Griffin, 5 all star games
2) Hasheem Thabeet, 0 all star games
3) James Harden, 3 all star games
4) Tyreke Evans, 0 all star games
5) Ricky Rubio, 0 all star games
6) Jonny Flynn, 0 all star games
Even in the very limited domain of professional basketball, it's impossible to predict who will be the superstars and who will quickly wash out of the league.
In the real world, it's much more difficult!