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I don't think there will be any market crashes before major AI companies doing IPOs, and then for some time more (late 2027- mid 2028).

Well, many will crash before they ever get to IPO. Phind closed shop last month a few weeks after raising millions. But yes, the areas where they are claiming he's wrong, have largely not had time to come to fruition. Lets reevaluate his claims about scams and markets in a year. I'd bet my net worth that Perplexity and similar wrapper products are acquired out of existence in <16 months.

Centrist positions are inherently unstable (think top of the hill) because they require active efforts to maintain the balance between factions prone to polarizations (left->far-left, right->far-right). It requires consistently good statesmanship or strong external challenge for opposing factions to act in united manner.

While setting proactive centrist initiatives might be hard, centrist sentiment with passive inaction is very very easy. All you need to do is tut-tut occasional "excesses."

In other words, the centrism of taking risks is very different from the centrism of avoiding them.


It depends on how the populace feels. It could also technically be a valley with the extremes on either side. Honestly though I think the centrists can never find positions people can get rabid about because by definition it calls for moderation.

The article is unpleasantly accurate.

> a transnational “authoritarian international” in which oligarchs, political operatives, royal families, security chiefs, and organized criminals cooperate to monetize state power while protecting one another from scrutiny.

At least the crackpots now get to see what a real deep state (concentrated power behind public facade) looks like.


This has been going on since the dawn of capitalism, probably before that.

Flagged in 3... 2...

Alas, the prototypical tech "temporarily embarrassed billionaire" has become the "temporarily embarrassed lord."



Added above. Thanks!

Overpromises and overhyping of AI is making all of IT industry worse.


Everytime I start to discuss LLM/AI with non-IT people it is the same. Absurd expectations. Or denial of AI.

But as CEOs like Altman, Musk or Amodei have some much space in media, they can amplify their products - as good salesmen :)

I think that we are in times similar to 1997-1999, “everything will be web”.


Have another look at this great project!

https://hnpwd.github.io/


Not likely. Mars is just infinitely harder target then Moon.


"Another study in 2024 showed that a collapse of the AMOC before the year 2100 was unlikely."


If you read the article and that's the overall conclusion you came away with I'm not sure we read the same article. They're just pointing out that timing is uncertain, but the majority of diverse models show AMOC failure within a few generations and nearly all of them do if we extrapolate continued CO2 release growth.


I hate endless catastrophism in the headlines.

Article contents doesn't reflect the alarmist statement in the header.


"The house will burn down"

"Don't be alarmist, it's just the curtains that are on fire. Besides, there's a good chance it might rain".


Literally in the article:

“Our paper says that the Atlantic overturning has not declined yet. That doesn’t say anything about its future, but it doesn’t appear the anticipated changes have occurred yet.”

The study is a stark contrast to a 2018 study that said the AMOC had declined over the last 70 years."

...

“Our results imply that, rather than a substantial decline, the AMOC is more likely to experience a limited decline over the 21st century—still some weakening, but less drastic than previous projections suggest.”

Am I the only person here who actually read it?


No, but you might be the only person here who missed "The team found that the AMOC will only weaken by about 18 to 43 percent by the end of the 21st century."

The idiotic article then downplays this horrific numbers because "Yeah, 43 percent is a lot, but it’s nowhere near what other climate models project". As if even a 20%-25% is not very bad already.

And that's just one cherry-picked study, whereas the majority of the studies predict worse outcomes. But sure, let's pick the sole nicer looking as the comforting winner - the "just" 18%-43% reduction "nice" one.


But can it compile "Hello, World" example from its own README.md?

https://github.com/anthropics/claudes-c-compiler/issues/1


It's fascinating how few people read past the issue title


And this is exactly why coding with AI is not-so-slowly taking over.

Most people think they are more capable than they actually are.


Noticed the part where all it requires is to actually have the headers in the right location?


"The location of Standard C headers do not need to be supplied to a conformant compiler."

From https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46920922 discussion.


And it doesn't for the compiler in question either. As long as the headers exist in the places it looks for them. No compiler magically knows where the headers are if you haven't placed them in the right location


stddef.h (et al) should be shipped by the compiler itself, and so it should know where it is. But they rely on gcc for it, hence it doesn't always know where to look. Seems totally fine for a prototype.


Especially given they're not shipping anything. The GCC binaries can't find misplaced or not installed headers either.


Shipping GPL headers that explicitly state that they are part of GCC with a creative commons licensed compiler would probably make a lot of people rather unhappy, possibly even lawyers.


Would you accept the same quality of implementation from a human team?


I've certainly encountered clang & gcc not finding or just not having header files a good couple times. Mostly around cross-compilation, but there was a period of time for which clang++ just completely failed to find any C++ headers on my system.


Yes, clang is famously in this category.

If you copy the clang binary to a random place in your filesystem, it will fail to compile programs that include standard headers.


A compiler that can't magically know how to find headers that don't exist in the expected directory?

Yes, that is the case for pretty much every compiler. I suppose you could build the headers into the binary, but nobody does that.


Consider: content-addressed headers.


Then you might as well embed the headers, since in that case you can't update the compiler and headers separately anyway.


I guess you've heard of https://www.unison-lang.org/


Noticed the part where the exact instructions from the Readme were followed and it didn't work?


So we're down to a missing or unclear description of a dependency in a README - note following the instructions worked for others -, from implications the compiler didn't work.


Would appreciate unflagging this.


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