Let's see how accurate those predictions are before worrying about the how. | Hacker News

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		esafak 7 days ago \| parent \| context \| favorite \| on: YesNotice Let's see how accurate those predictions are before worrying about the how.

scubbo 6 days ago [2 more]

[flagged]

esafak 6 days ago | [–]

Here is a trivial estimator: predict a random date in the future based on characteristics of the query. Use an LLM to classify the query, yielding the random variable's scale parameter, if you want.

How much better is it than my trivial estimator?

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